Afghanistan’s economy is projected to grow by around 4 percent in 2026, driven by stronger domestic demand, increased private investment, and the reintegration of returning migrants into the labour market, according to a World Bank statement,
The report noted that trade routes through Iran continue to play a significant role in sustaining economic activity, while ongoing efforts to diversify trade corridors are expected to improve economic resilience and support more stable long-term growth.
It further stated that Afghanistan’s economy expanded by an estimated 4.8 percent in 2025, supported by rising household consumption and a gradual recovery in non-agricultural sectors.
Despite persistent structural challenges, the data points to a modest but continued economic recovery trajectory, with growth increasingly dependent on internal demand and regional trade dynamics.