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ADB warns of big climate disasters in Pakistan

In a sobering assessment, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has underscored the pressing need for Pakistan to fortify its defenses against the escalating threat of climate change-induced disasters, particularly floods and extreme weather events.

According to the latest ADB report titled “Applying Spatial Analysis To Assess Crop Damage: A Case Study Of The Pakistan 2022 Floods,” Pakistan remains highly susceptible to floods and water-related calamities due to the anticipated effects of climate change. The report emphasizes the criticality of leveraging real-time crop damage assessments, such as spatial analysis, to orchestrate swift disaster response and recovery efforts.

Highlighting Pakistan’s vulnerability to climate change, the report cites the Global Climate Risk Index 2021, which ranked Pakistan as the world’s 8th most vulnerable country. Projections indicate a surge in temperatures exceeding the global average, alongside an uptick in heatwaves and glacial melting, exacerbating droughts and water scarcity. Such climatic shifts pose a significant threat to agriculture, upon which over half of Pakistan’s population depends directly or indirectly for their livelihoods.

The devastating floods of June–August 2022 prompted a collaborative effort between the government and international partners, including ADB, to conduct a Post-Disaster Needs Assessment (PDNA). This extensive exercise revealed staggering economic losses amounting to $14.9 billion, with the agriculture sector bearing a substantial brunt. An estimated 1.8 million hectares of cropland incurred damage totaling $3.7 billion.

To bolster crop monitoring and enhance disaster preparedness, the ADB advocates for the adoption of advanced technology, including geographic information systems and remote sensing. Key recommendations include augmenting the workforce of specialists, integrating spatial analysis into statistical reporting systems, and fostering policymakers’ proficiency in interpreting spatial data.

Moreover, the ADB’s broader regional initiative, “Regional Action on Climate Change: A Vision for the Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation Program,” underscores the imperative of transitioning to cleaner energy sources. The Energy Transition Mechanism (ETM) aims to expedite the retirement of coal-fired power plants, steering towards decarbonization across sectors. Collaborative efforts with countries like Kazakhstan and Pakistan seek to assess existing assets compatible with ETM.

Against the backdrop of recent climate-related catastrophes in the region, the ADB issues a stark warning, emphasizing the urgent need to curb carbon emissions and bolster resilience to avert future crises. These developments underscore the criticality of concerted global action to mitigate climate change’s far-reaching impacts and safeguard vulnerable communities.

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