Pakistan’s new government faces a baptism by fire in its relations with Afghanistan’s Taliban rulers. Following a deadly terrorist attack in North Waziristan, Pakistan retaliated against targets in Afghanistan. This action, however, has drawn accusations of civilian casualties from the Afghan side, raising tensions further. Pakistan cannot ignore attacks on its soil, especially those targeting civilians and security personnel. However, unilateral military action against Afghanistan could escalate tensions and jeopardize any chance of cooperation.
Pakistan needs to maintain some leverage with the Taliban to address security concerns. However, this leverage could diminish if relations deteriorate further. Initial pleasantries between the foreign ministers offered hope for improved relations. The North Waziristan attack serves as a stark reminder of the challenges ahead.
Collaborative efforts are needed to determine the source of attacks targeting Pakistan. Evidence suggests potential safe havens for militants within Afghanistan, a concern Pakistan has raised at the UN. The Taliban must demonstrate their commitment to preventing attacks against Pakistan. Simply denying safe havens is insufficient. Carrot and Stick: Pakistan needs a combined approach of offering incentives and holding the Taliban accountable for dismantling militant groups. Maintaining open communication channels with Afghanistan is crucial. Pakistan should urge them to crack down on verified terrorist havens. Destabilizing the region is a threat to all. Pakistan should encourage other regional powers, like China, to incentivize the Taliban to act against terrorist groups. A collective regional effort, alongside bilateral engagement, is essential to establish a common counterterrorism strategy with the Taliban. Managing this complex relationship will be a key test for Pakistan’s new government.